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3Aug/110

Sprint: The Worst Has Not Yet Been Seen (S, T, VZ, LEAP, PCS, AAPL, CLWR)

The intensely competitive wireless sector showed some additional blood-letting this week when Sprint Nextel Corporation (NYSE: S) announced second-quarter earnings.  the shares closed down 16% at $4.34 after being down as much as 20% and things are worse again today.  the move actually shows strengths of AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) and Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), while highlighting both Leap Wireless International Inc. (NASDAQ: LEAP) and MetroPCS Communications, Inc. (NYSE: PCS).

Sprint is the country’s no. 3 wireless carrier with a market cap just shy of $13 billion.  the company’s second-quarter results were disastrous.  Posting a net loss of $847 million or $0.28 per share, the company exceeded the $760 million loss or $0.25 per share a year ago.  the loss dwarfed analysts expectations of minus $0.12 per share.  Sprint’s current return on equity is a negative 19.4%.  the stock is down another 2% going into the weekend at $4.23 and its 52-week price range is $3.70 to $6.45.  It is always easy to blame a weak stock market, but Sprint is trading as though the worst is yet to come if you just look at this awful stock chart from stockcharts.com.The company faces a particularly challenging marketing situation since Sprint and T-Mobile are the only two U.S. wireless carriers not offering the iPhone from Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL).  the lack of Apple puts Sprint at a strategic disadvantage.  Sprint lost 101,000 customers during the quarter just ended and 114,000 in the previous quarter.

Sprint Nextel has announced that it will be building and operating the national wireless broadband network for LightSquared, the hedge fund backed startup.  the company hopes to the LightSquared transaction will add $9 billion to its revenues over 11 years.  While the deal would be a distinct positive for both companies, funding for the long-rumored service opportunity is less than certain.

AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T), with an acquisition of T-Mobile in the offing, has a market cap of $173 billion.  Its forward price earnings multiple is 11.5 and its return of equity (ROE) of 18.3%.  the shares recently closed at $29.26 its 52-week price range is $25.79 to $31.94.  Based on relative strength and consensus analysts’ opinions, AT&T would appear one of the more attractive plays in this intensely competitive sector once overall market conditions improve.   T-Mobile is in the process of being acquired by AT&T, a move that is only going to puts Sprint further back in the field if the merger is allowed.

Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) has a market cap of $101 billion making it the country’s second largest wireless carrier.  the company has a forward price earnings multiple of 13.7 and a return of equity (ROE) of 12.9%.  the shares recently closed at $35.66 its 52-week price range is $28.61 to $38.95.

Leap Wireless International Inc. (NASDAQ: LEAP) and MetroPCS Communications, Inc. (NYSE: PCS) look like they need to merge even more than ever, even if they could not get a deal done before when share prices were higher.  Leap has a market cap of $1.04 billion. the company will report second-quarter earnings on August 3rd.  Analysts look for a second-quarter loss of  $0.50 and a third-quarter loss of $0.47.  Consensus estimates project continued losses of $2.91 for FY 2011 and $1.12 for FY 2012.  LEAP currently posts a negative return on equity of 61.67%.  the shares recently closed at $13.25 its 52-week price range is $9.51 to $17.66. MetroPCS has a market cap of $5.8 billion, a forward price earnings multiple of 12.2 and a return of equity (ROE) of 9.15%.  the shares recently closed at $16.29 its 52-week price range is $8.25 to $18.79.   Five-star analysts’ opinions place MetroPCS among the more attractive plays in this intensely competitive sector once overall market conditions improve.  Sprint’s acquisition of Virgin Mobile should have pressured these two merge again, but little has been seen on that front.

So, what options does Sprint truly have?  the 4G phones from Samsung are losing some of the competitive advantages, and frankly people wanted the iPhone any way.  the walkie-talkie features are another move from yesteryear.  Maybe Sprint can unlock some value in Spectrum.  Its old effort with Clearwire Corporation (NASDAQ: CLWR) was not exactly a huge success, particularly if you count the $2.22 share price from Clearwire.  the obvious move is that Sprint has to go in and get Apple to open up to a third carrier.  Sprint actually has more than enough spectrum, and it would bring back the interest in the company.  Apple just hasn’t wanted to go there yet.

What is so interesting is that Sprint has long been considered a merger candidate by many turnaround and speculative investors.  the acquisition of T-Mobile arguably takes away this argument, but that really depends upon your stance.  It is going to take a miracle to fix Sprint.  President & CEO Dan Hesse has a great reputation in the wireless industry, but the workaround for Sprint may have just proved to be too much to ask even if many of the legacy issues and decisions were not made by him.

As of today, it really appears to be a situation that hope and prayer are Sprint-holders’ top aspirations.  There is nothing wrong hope and prayer, but they make for very poor primary business strategies without any action of substance to help out.

If the market does not get a handy recovery soon, it should be no shock to anyone if Sprint Nextel shares start to challenge the 52-week lows.

Jon Ogg & Jim Berdou

1Aug/110

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30Jul/110

Play for now and later

by MOLOUK Y. BA-ISA,

Published: Jul 27, 2011 01:25 Updated: Jul 27, 2011 01:43

If you’re stuck at the office this summer and looking for something to do, then why not give yourself a promotion and become the CEO of your own virtual company? Millionaire Boss on Facebook is a fun and competitive experience managing a startup and growing it to become a successful company. the game is currently recruiting entrepreneurial players who have the skills and fortitude to hire and fire, wheel and deal as the CEO of their own company.

Millionaire Boss puts players in a position to give the evil corporation, “LootCo.,” a run for its money by working to become a powerful competing CEO. Players setup and name their company, hire Facebook friends as employees, use strategy to combine the right types of employees with different skills and levels of experience, and focus them on the right work to build the business. Challenging corporate missions await in Millionaire Boss including striving to grow the company’s market share, increasing shareholder value, managing corporate reputation and expanding the headquarters. Players have the opportunity to customize their virtual CEO and design a cool office space to set the tone and motivate employees with everything from foosball tables and fully-stocked snack rooms to aquariums. Players compete with friends to see who can turn their hot new startup into the next big thing.

Created specifically to take full advantage of the social features on Facebook, players can gift items, share coins with friends and visit friends’ offices to help their chances for success. Play for free by going to  apps.facebook.com/millionaireboss.

If you’re a Millionaire Boss then you’ve probably got an amazing smartphone. according to Gartner, Inc., worldwide smartphone sales will reach 468 million units in 2011, and are expected to surpass 500 million in 2012. the Android operating system continues to grow in strength as a smartphone operating system and is expected to surpass iOS by year end. Companies are recognizing this by developing new apps and games for Android phones, as well as making previously released iPhone titles available on Android.

For example, Disney Publishing Worldwide, the world’s largest publisher of children’s books and magazines, has released its first app for the Android platform. “Winnie the Pooh: What’s a Bear to Do?” brings this popular children’s character to Android devices. the app features professional narration in five different languages – English, French, German, Spanish and Japanese – plus sound effects and authentic Winnie the Pooh music. all five languages are included in one download, and switching between the languages takes just one tap. there is also the option to turn off the narration and record any voice reading the story aloud. the app is available for $2.99 through the Android Market.

And Sony Computer Entertainment is hoping that a new mobile device will improve its fortunes. the PlayStation Vita (PS Vita) will be its next generation portable entertainment system. the Wi-Fi model will be available for 24,980 yen in Japan, $249 in the US and €249 in Europe. the 3G/Wi-Fi model will be available for 29,980 yen in Japan, $299 in US and €299 in Europe. there will be successive launches of the entertainment system in global markets by the end of this year.

The PS Vita incorporates a 5-inch multi-touch organic light emitting diode (OLED) as the front display and a multi-touch pad on the rear. with the front touch screen and the rear touch pad, gamers will interact directly with games in three dimension-like motion through “touch, grab, trace, push and pull” finger motions. also, PS Vita features two analog sticks which enable a wider range of game genres to be brought into the portable experience, such as shooters, action games and fighting games. Owners of the PS Vita will quickly get up to speed on the new device through a tutorial app called “Welcome Park.” just play Welcome Park to become accustomed to the functionality of the new technology.

Sony believes that by offering both Wi-Fi and 3G network connectivity, together with various applications, the PS Vita will enable new social opportunities for the mobile entertainment system. for instance, the PS Vita application, “near,” which will come pre-installed, will let users discover what games PS Vita users in the vicinity are or were recently playing, as well as let users share their game information. “Near” also enables location-based gaming features such as “gifting,” in which a user can access virtual game-related items that other users are sharing, through checking in at geographic locations that others have also visited. the virtual items can include content unlocked from games, such as character costumes, weapons and treasures. another app to be pre-installed in the PS Vita is “Party.” This app will allow users to enjoy voice chat or text chat not only during online gaming, but also when users are playing different games or using different applications such as an Internet browser. Sony will be specifying information on games available at launch closer to the system’s release date.

28Jul/110

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Apple, China Unicom, Research In Motion Limited, China Mobile and China Telecom

On Wednesday July 20, 2011, 10:00 am EDT

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – July 20, 2011 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Apple(NasdaqGS: AAPL - News), China Unicom(NYSE: CHU - News), Research in Motion Limited(NasdaqGS: RIMM - News), China Mobile(NYSE: CHL - News) and China Telecom Corp.(NYSE: CHA - News).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:

Apple kills It… Again

Magic-maker and "serial earnings surpriser" Apple (AAPL) blew away everybody -- even the most optimistic investors -- with 35% beat of estimates this afternoon. The company reported EPS of $7.79 when the consensus estimate was for only $5.81.

To give you an idea of how big this beat was, the highest published estimate by any analyst was $6.58. even the "whisper" numbers all day were only as high as $7.34 at the extreme upper end. and this after weeks of dozens of analysts raising their estimates for the quarter and the year.

Apple revenues came in at $28.57 billion when the street was looking for something closer to $25 billion. This sales growth was driven by strong numbers for the iPhone which exceed 20 million units and the iPad which topped 9 million. Word is that they sold every iPad they could make.

The record quarterly revenue was matched by record quarterly net profit of $7.31 billion, versus year ago revenues of $15.70 billion and net quarterly profit of $3.25 billion, or $3.51 per diluted share. This represents a 122% jump in profits.

According to the company's press release, gross margin was 41.7 percent compared to 39.1 percent in the year-ago quarter and international sales accounted for 62 percent of the quarter's revenue. They sold 20.34 million iPhones, representing 142 percent unit growth over the year-ago quarter and 9.25 million iPads was a 183 percent unit increase.

Apple also sold 3.95 million Macs, a 14 percent unit increase over the year-ago quarter and even 7.54 million iPods, a 20 percent unit decline.

"We're thrilled to deliver our best quarter ever, with revenue up 82 percent and profits up 125 percent," said Steve Jobs, Apple's CEO. "Right now, we're very focused and excited about bringing iOS 5 and iCloud to our users this fall."

Apple now has $76 billion in cash and must be leaving analysts wondering what their next move is with that kind of war chest.

China Unicom Adds 3G Subscribers

China's second largest mobile operator China Unicom (NYSE: CHU - News) added 2.28 million subscribers in June, up 1.27% from the prior month. This takes the company’s total customer base to 181.62 million.

The company’s GSM subscriber base rose to 157.67 million with the net addition of 0.42 million customers, while its 3G subscriber base increased to 23.95 million with net addition of 1.86 million in June. China Unicom added more 3G subscribers in June compared to 1.74 million 3G subscribers in the last month. With the growth in subscribers, the company appears on track to reach its 25 million target for fiscal 2011.

The company’s 3G business is performing well and the momentum is expected to continue well into the future. 3G remains a compelling opportunity and represents the single biggest driver of the company’s long-term growth. For the full year, capital spending on 3G network is estimated at RMB 73.80 billion.

We believe China Unicom will continue to make significant progress in expanding economies of scale in 3G, broadband and other businesses that will likely improve its overall revenue and profitability. The company is offering 3G services in collaboration with Research in Motion Limited’s (NasdaqGS: RIMM - News) Blackberry phones. Additionally, the company has the exclusive right to distribute Apple Inc.’s (NasdaqGS: AAPL - News) iPhone in China.  China Unicom is also in talks with Apple to sell the iPad by the end of 2011.

China Unicom’s 3G and fixed-line broadband businesses have been ramping up since last year. However, these businesses are expected to remain under pressure due to increasing depreciation and amortization expenses; networks, operations and support expenses; as well as selling expenses for the remainder of this year. We believe these expenses will have an adverse effect on the company’s future profitability, free cash flow and margins.

Further, higher handset subsidies and increased costs related to 3G service deployments will continue to be headwinds for the company. Despite these challenges, we expect China Unicom to benefit from new users this year.

China Unicom is offering handsets at subsidized rates with lower 3G service plans for multi-year contracts to retain existing customers and add new ones. This will weigh on the company’s future overall average revenue per user. Moreover, China Unicom remains significantly challenged by aggressive nationwide 3G service rollouts by its peers China Mobile (NYSE:CHL) and China Telecom Corp. (NYSE: CHA - News).

We currently have a long-term Neutral rating on China Unicom. The stock retains a Zacks # 3 (Hold) Rank for the short term (1–3 months).

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